Beth 005Contributed by Beth Collinge of CTG – a division of ILX Group plc.

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision revealed new capital requirements. The Bank of England kept interest rates unchanged. Yields on peripheral eurozone bonds rose with renewed sovereign debt issuance. A Beige Book survey revealed economic growth mixed or slow in USA.

Economic Backdrop

  • Global equity and oil prices made modest gains while core government bonds and gold eased back.
  • Plans by Deutsche Bank to raise over €9bn unsettled the equity market on Friday ahead of the weekend’s Basel Committee on Banking Supervision summit, that set fresh capital requirements for the sector.
  • This week there were also claims that July’s “stress tests” on Europe’s banks had understated some lenders’ holdings of potentially risky sovereign debt. The spread of peripheral government bond yields over German Bunds widened sharply in the early part of the week – to record levels in the cases of Portugal and Ireland – prompting fresh buying by the European Central Bank. Economic data from Germany appeared to suggest that the strong growth seen in the eurozone’s powerhouse in the second quarter of the year might be tailing off.
  • The US Federal Reserve released its snapshot of the economy, which showed “widespread signs” of slowing in recent weeks. The Fed said in its Beige Book survey of businesses that three of the 12 districts questioned said economic growth was mixed or slow.
  • The Bank of England left interest rates and the level of quantitative easing unchanged as expected, after recent economic signs pointed to a relatively robust recovery.
  • During the week the euro ground against the dollar, and against the pound.
  • The Canadian dollar was given an extra boost when the Bank of Canada raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 1 per cent after its policy meeting on Wednesday, but the Reserve Bank of Australia kept interest rates on hold at its policy meeting on Tuesday, citing fears over a global slowdown.
  • In commodities, oil was trading above $76 a barrel late on Friday, up from $74.60 a week earlier, although it eased back in choppy trading. Gold rose to within a whisker of its June record high of $1,265 but eased back to $1,247 as risk aversion faded.
  • China’s trade surplus dropped in August after imports grew at a faster rate than expected, an indication that domestic demand could be rebounding after several months of slowdown.
  • Beijing allowed its currency to appreciate by 0.5 per cent this week, taking the total increase in the value of the renminbi to 0.95 per cent since it abandoned the dollar peg in June.

Read more

Beth 005Contributed by Beth Collinge of CTG – a division of ILX Group plc.

The European Central Bank left its key lending rate at 1%. Encouraging job creation numbers came out of the US, but unemployment is still rising. We also saw agreement in the EU on the creation of a European Systemic Risk Council.

Economic Backdrop

  • Global equities finished the week higher and bond prices lower, after better than expected data from the US. The US employment report for August revealed that private sector hiring rose by 67,000 (against a forecast gain of 41,000), and the non-farm payroll report also showed that the number of people employed fell less than expected. However, the US economy is not growing sufficiently fast to create enough jobs to bring down the unemployment rate, which rose to 9.6% from 9.5%.
    When news came that the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) index of national service activity had fallen from 54.3 in July to 51.5 in August, which was worse than expected, this added confusion to the markets and limited the gains in equities and falls in bonds.
  • In Europe, the ECB left its key lending rate at 1%, and extended its emergency support for eurozone banks until early in 2011.
  • Gold soared at one point to about $1,250 an ounce, more than $100 higher than levels of only 3-4 years ago, and up 12% since the start of 2010, reflecting the uncertainty of investors as to the direction of global economies; silver prices have also hit their highest levels since March 2008. The price of wheat, corn and other cereals rose again after Russia said it would extend its grain export ban and global meat prices have hit a 20 year high.

Read more

Beth 005Contributed by Beth Collinge of CTG – a division of ILX Group plc.

More weak economic data out of the US increased fear of a slower recovery. China overtook Japan to become the world’s second-largest economy. US and UK bond yields sank to record lows.

Overview

  • Another round of weak economic data out of the US this week increased fears of a deeper slowdown. There were weak manufacturing reports in the New York and Philadelphia regions and initial jobless claims hit 500,000 again for the first time since November 2009.
  • At the start of the week it was also revealed that Japan’s economy had expanded by much less than expected in the second quarter of the year. It grew by just 0.1% – 0.4% on an annualised basis. Economists expect that China, whose Q2 GDP grew by 10.3%, will permanently overtake the Japan by the end of this year, to become the world’s second-largest economy. This was on top of news that the European Central Bank would delay its exit from loose monetary policy, and that the Federal Reserve might consider further quantitative easing. Yields on benchmark US, UK, German and Japanese sovereign debt all sank to record or multi-month lows: In the USA, the 10-year Treasury yield fell to a 16-month low, of 2.58%, while gold rose to $1,227 as nervous investors moved away from equities, industrial commodities and the euro. The euro fell to $1.2664, its lowest level since mid-July.

Read more

Beth 005Contributed by Beth Collinge of CTG – a division of ILX Group plc.

In the UK last week, the Bank of England, lowered its growth forecast, saying recovery will be “choppy” and warning that inflation will remain above target. And In the US the Federal Reserve downgraded its outlook for US economy, signaling its intention to continue quantitative easing to maintain liquidity and to keep interest rates low for a “significant period”, and confirming that US trade gap is continuing to widen. In Europe, politicians emphasized the strong German performance while economists worried about a “two-tier” Europe, and sovereign debt default of weaker economies.

Economic Backdrop

  • Markets are looking ahead to fiscal tightening in Western economies in 2011, and the global economic picture is still very unsettled. The Bank of England has cut its output forecast for the next two years; the Federal Reserve has revealed that it will reinvest more than $150bn from the proceeds of maturing mortgage-backed securities to maintain the level of liquidity from earlier quantitative easing operations; and in Europe, despite the strong growth of the German and French economies, economists fear that this will not be sufficient to counter balance the poor performance in Italy, Spain, Portugal and, most worryingly, Greece.
  • The B of E has revised its outlook for GDP growth for the rest of this year to be down slightly, but has lowered its forecast for 2011 to fall to 2.7% from 3.4%, and now predicts slower growth in 2012 too. The Bank cited as causes the new government’s fiscal austerity programme and a slow recovery in credit and lending markets at home. The Bank also believes inflation will not fall below its 2% target until the end of 2011, largely because of the planned increase in VAT. However, its predictions are still more optimistic than the consensus of private sector economists. The FTSE lost 1% over the week.
  • Following a number of dismal economic reports in the US, the Fed announced that the pace of recovery had slowed in recent months. The monthly trade gap grew by 18.8% between May and June: imports from China are the highest they have been since October 2008. The markets were not reassured when the Fed indicated that it would maintain its current balance sheet of $2,300bn by buying Treasuries and investors turned instead to safe-haven investments. The DJIA lost 2% over the week, and the 10-year Treasury yield hit a 16-month low of 2.68% at one point before finishing the week at 2.69% with a loss of 14 bp. Gold also rose to a one-month high of $1,218 before finishing the week slightly lower.
  • Although the German economy grew by 2.2% in Q2 (3.7% in 12 months), this was mostly the result of an increase in exports, mainly due to the weakness of the euro at the beginning of the quarter. The fact that Spain and Portugal grew by only 0.2%, while Greece contracted by 1.5%, reignited fears of sovereign debt default in these countries and revived worries over the survival of the monetary union. Consequently, the euro sank 3.9% to a three-week low against the dollar.

Read more

iStock_000007678487XSmallBy Kate McClaskey (New York City)

The debate over city life versus suburb life has been raging for years and will more than likely rage on for years to come. In the last U.S. census, almost two-thirds (64%) of college-educated 25- to 34-year-olds said they looked for a job after they chose the city where they wanted to live.

But it’s not just recent college grads who thinking hard about where to live. As more women enter the career force as professionals, the issue of work/life fit is becoming more important -and where you live can play a big role. There are pros and cons to both but the key is to find which works best for you.

The City

Pros

Shorter Commute: Shorter distances to work, restaurants, and stores all decrease the time spent in a car commuting to jobs or getting groceries. And when you’re lucky enough to live in a neighborhood where everything is walking distance anyway, then the need for a car is even smaller.

Actually, new research in Preventive Medicine shows that people living in more urban communities reap health benefits because they tend to walk more. And why not walk when there are so many things to do nearby like museums, parks, theaters and much more.

Close to Kids During the Day:
If you live in the city, your children will most likely go to school in the city as well. From sick days to school assemblies, a shorter distance between work and school makes it a lot easier to round up a busy family.

Entertainment:
One thing is for certain, city life is never slow. There are always new things to do, new shows to see, new restaurants to try, new stores to visit. Kids have children’s museums to public parks, while adults have nearby bars and cafes.

Public Transportation:
Forget driving, there’s a multitude of ways to get around in big cities. From subways to trains to buses to simply walking, public transportation defines the city. This eliminates the need for car sometimes, which includes car insurance. So even though having to pay for train passes or metro cards may seem like a burden, its still less expensive than bills to the insurance company and the upkeep a car requires.

Cons

Expense: From food to apartments, things are usually are more expensive in the city than they are in the suburbs. What could normally cost five dollars outside a city can cost twice as much in it. Finding the right budget to live in the city can prove difficult.

Schools: Should parents wish to put their child in a private school in the city, their cost of living will rise dramatically.

Smaller Space:
Apartments come in all shapes and sizes but they can never offer the amount of space a house can. And with adjoining walls and a plethora of neighbors, there will always be people around. This can prove problematic for growing families who may not have the convenience of extra closet space and larger rooms.

The Suburbs

Pros

Space: There will always be more space outside the city. With less buildings and less traffic, this also means there is more space for backyards. Instead of apartments and crowded sidewalks, the suburbs can offer lawns and houses. For many with children, the opportunity to have a backyard that they can call their own far outweighs the public parks that are offered in the city.

Quietness: With this increase of space also comes another benefit, which is less noise. Without car horns, sirens, people and a myriad of other noises, the suburbs can offer one thing cities never can: silence.

Transportation: And although things may be farther away, getting there and back may actually be quicker. Instead of wading through crowds and subways, one can simply get in their car and drive the distance without the wait. It may be a little farther, but it could be much simpler.

Cons

Commute:
Studies from the American Journal of Public Health and the American Journal of Health Promotion have linked suburban sprawl to rising obesity rates. Instead of walking to work or the store, people are getting in their cars and driving there, cutting down on the amount of exercise they are receiving. Additionally, a hard commute can have a negative effect on your mood, increasing negative health effects.

Expense: A recent article by the New York Times found that certain variables can cause living in the suburbs to actually be more expensive than living in the city. With owning and insuring a car, property taxes, as well as utilities and train passes, living in the suburbs can actually outdo the expenses of living in the city in the long run. Owning and maintaining a home takes a lot more money than owning or renting an apartment in the city does.

The list of pro and cons for city life or suburb life can go on and on. But we all have different priorities. Hopefully the list above can help you decide which is best for you.

iStock_000007832239XSmallBy Natalie Sabia (New York City)

What does the Dodd-Frank Bill mean to you? That’s the million dollar question that is being asked in every conversation centered on the economy. The 2,300 page bill that was recently passed, introduces the largest wave of changes in financial regulation since the turn taken after the Great Depression in 1930. It will enforce new rules among banks and financial institutions. No matter what side if the bill you’re on, it will continue to spark all angles of opinions and controversy.

The New York chapter of the National Investor Relations Institute (NIRI-NY) in cooperation with the Robert Zicklin Center for Corporate Integrity at Baruch College held a special session to discuss the Dodd-Frank bill and its provisions including issues on corporate governance, proxy access and executive compensation. The audience included investor relations personal, teachers, lawyers and representatives from financial firms.

Read more

Beth 005Contributed by Beth Collinge of CTG – a division of ILX Group plc.

British banks produced encouraging Q2 results, mainly due to a reduction in impairment charges and booming retail and commercial business. The Bank of England and the European Central Bank left benchmark interest rates unchanged. THe ECB president announced eurozone economic recovery “surpasses expectations”. In the US, non-farm payroll figures raise the prospect that the Fed will reinstate a quantitative easing programme to stimulate growth. And Chinese manufacturing output grew at a slower rate in Q2 and predictions for Q3 are for further slowing.

Economic Backdrop

  • The global economic recovery was again shown to be fragile with news of slowing expansion in Chinese manufacturing adding to disappointing growth in the US. The Chinese purchasing managers’ index for July sank to its lowest level since February 2009: the economy has been restrained by Chinese government attempts to curb real estate speculation.
  • In the US, although the unemployment rate held steady at 9.5 percent, US businesses created jobs at a slower pace than earlier in the year and barely fast enough to keep up with population growth. Private payrolls increased by 71,000 jobs, compared with a forecast of 90,000. Overall, the US economy shed 131,000 jobs in July, and a revised 221,000 jobs in June, but that decline was the result of the end of temporary government jobs for the 2010 census.
  • The euro has rallied 11 percent since reaching a four-year low versus the dollar on June 7, as investors gained confidence that government austerity measures will help the region weather its sovereign-debt crisis. A report last week showed business confidence in Germany unexpectedly climbed to a three- year high and monthly purchasing managers’ indices for Europe said growth in services and manufacturing industries accelerated in July.
  • The ECB and the Bank of England left interest rates unchanged at their monthly meetings.
  • The COMEX December gold futures contract closed up Friday at $1205.30. People were also buying gold on the longer-term view that the dollar may weaken further and inflation may rise if a stuttering economic recovery causes the U.S. to inject more money into the system. In addition, China announced a series of measures to liberalise its local gold market, which will increase liquidity and spur development of gold financial products.

Read more

iStock_000009246116XSmallBy Elizabeth Harrin (London)

You don’t have to look too far into management research to uncover that all the statistics point to one thing: we prefer to work for men. When Ella Edmonson Bell asked her MBA students whether they would rather work for a woman or a man, most of them said they’d prefer a male boss. When ForbesWoman asked their Facebook community the same thing, the answers were the same. Admitting our preferences doesn’t seem to be a problem – we’re happy to confess that we want to work for men – but why do we feel like that in the first place? What’s so problematic about working for a woman?

“One way of explaining this phenomenon is gender schemas,” says Dr. Birute Regine, a developmental psychologist and author of Iron Butterflies: Women Transforming Themselves and the World. “A gender schema is an unconscious cultural assumption we hold about men and women. One schema is that women are first assumed incompetent and therefore not leaders, whereas for men it’s the opposite – that they are first assumed competent until proven otherwise.”

The problem with ideologies of this type is that we don’t necessarily know that we have them, and they tend to be pervasive. “Both women and men hold these assumptions,” adds Dr. Regine. “So perhaps women prefer male bosses because they assume they are more competent, and don’t give women the same benefit of the doubt or confidence going in. Women bosses may not be as supportive because, even though they know that they themselves are competent, these schema lead them to assume that other women are not.”

Read more

iStock_000011934674XSmallBy Elizabeth Harrin (London)

“Since banks have failed to reform we are now doing the job for them,” says Arlene McCarthy, the vice chair of the European Parliament’s Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee (ECON) and the woman who has just spearheaded new rules on bankers’ bonuses. “We have a duty as legislators to respond to the public’s concerns by voting in favour of these tough reforms to end the obscene bonus culture. At a time when the government is making substantial cuts, scaling back public services and support to families and businesses, our constituents expect banks to prioritise stability and lending over their own pay and perks. The banks have had two years since the 2008 financial crisis to do this and have failed to act, so now we will do the job for them.”

Gone are the unlimited cash bonuses and exceptional pension payments; in come rules about capping bonuses to salary and distributing shares instead of cash. Bankers might not be happy, but taxpayers will appreciate the shift towards a culture of transparency and accountability that focuses on repaying public loans.

Read more

Beth 005Contributed by Beth Collinge of CTG – a division of ILX Group plc.

The US has avoided a double dip recession, although the Fed reported that the recovery has slowed. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision softened some provisions in Basel III, watering down earlier definitions of capital and including a long phase-in period to comply with new requirements about leverage and liquidity ratios. BP announced that Robert Dudley will replace Tony Hayword as its CEO.

Economic Backdrop

  • In global equity markets the week began well, in the wake of good earnings from companies in the US and Europe, and a sharp rally in banking stocks after European bank stress tests eased investors’ fears about the region’s financials. The rally was reversed mid-week, however, when some US economic numbers such as durable goods and the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book cast doubt on the outlook for growth later this year. In its Beige Book report on the American economy, the Federal Reserve observed a modest rise in economic activity in June and the first half of July. The Fed found that conditions were improving in most of its 12 regional districts, but that advances were moderate, lending credence to the view that the recovery is weakening but broadly on track. Nevertheless, Wall Street recorded its biggest monthly gain in a year.
  • Following news that the American consumer-confidence index had fallen to a five-month low of 50.4 in July, from 54.3 in June, and the release of poor data on second-quarter US growth, the dollar fell against a broad range of currencies. On a trade-weighted basis it was down 0.9 per cent over the week, and was at its weakest against the Japanese currency (apart from two trading days last year) since 1995.
  • At the same time, the euro rallied to its highest in three months: it gained 0.9 per cent to $1.3025 over the week, at one point rising above $1.31. The pound was 1.5 per cent stronger at $1.5662, its highest level in five months.
  • In US government bond trading, the disappointing data on July consumer confidence and on the US labour market kept yields on US Treasuries near their lowest levels for the year. The yield on 10-year notes was at 2.91 per cent on Friday, down from a high of 3.06 per cent on Wednesday.

Read more